Report: Mortgage trouble isn’t hurting state, La Crosse
By The Associated Press
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MILWAUKEE ” Although national economic growth will be slashed by about $166 billion because of mortgage problems, none of that decline will come from Wisconsin, according to a report released today by the U.S. Conference of Mayors.
The report prepared for the group by Global Insight Inc. said the gross metropolitan product of every city in the state will increase next year by just as much as if the crisis had not happened.
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GMP measures the total value of all goods and services produced in an area.
The areas studied, and the gross metropolitan product growth expected next year, include Appleton at 2.7 percent, Duluth, Minn.-Superior 2.6 percent, Eau Claire 2.8t, Fond du Lac 3.1, Green Bay 2.9, Janesville 3.3, La Crosse 3.1, Madison 3.4, Milwaukee 2.5, Oshkosh 2.7, Racine 2.3, Sheboygan 2.6 and Wausau 2.6.
Even so, Jim Diffley, who prepared the report for Global Insight, said housing starts statewide will fall to about 20,200 next year, down 12 percent from this year’s estimate of 22,600.
The study includes Wisconsin’s Kenosha County in the Chicago area, which it said will be losing $3.9 billion, while parts of west-central Wisconsin are included in the Minneapolis area, which is not expected to lose anything because of the crisis.
“In 2008, the (national) economy will grow at a rate of 1.9 percent, a full percentage point lower than would have been the case without the mortgage crisis,” the report said.
Diffley said the result is better in Wisconsin because area prices and mortgage values did not climb as much or as rapidly as in other parts of the country.
House prices will remain stable in Wisconsin next year, he said, whereas without the credit crunch and economic slowdown caused by the mortgage crisis, they would have increased 2 percent to 3 percent.
Nationally, home prices will fall 7 percent in 2008, the report said.
The report was released before a meeting of mayors from across the country in Detroit.
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